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▲瑞士鐘錶的「寒冬」，可望在2017年解凍！（圖／達志影像／美土銀銀行聯社）

記者楊坊士／台北報導

瑞士鐘錶因大陸禁奢令，銷售嚴重受到影響，2016年出口香港連連衰退，最糟糕時期，年成長率更達4成之多！三大腕錶集團之一的歷峰（Richemont）在11月時裁員200至250人，整個瑞士鐘錶都經歷嚴峻的「寒冬期」，但好消息是，2017年的出口成長率可望轉正！

根據康和投顧所做的調查指出，瑞士鐘錶9至11月已經連續兩個月出現改善，出口額衰退幅度縮小至0.7%。而歷峰集團在2016年的銷售額為30.9億歐元，年成長率為5%，其中亞太區以大陸與南韓市場表現最為亮眼，高達11.3億歐元，認為鐘錶「寒冬」出現曙光。

除了鐘錶市場傳出喜訊，精品市場也感受到大陸市場正在復甦，LOUIS VUITTON（路易威登）、HERMES（愛馬仕）在2016第三季有明顯提升。Burberry、LVMH及Hugo Boss等品牌也都有同感。

瑞士寶盛精品基金經理人黃意芝亦認為，因川普重商的政策，消費者信心提升，加上農曆新年到來，精品銷量都預期提升。瑞士鐘錶、精品業都將「解凍」，迎向曙光，讓各界都非常期待。

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2017-01-2003:00

WARM WELCOME? Vice President Chen Chien-jen said that protesters should avoid the cold by sending representatives to Sunday’s meeting to discuss issuesBy Stacy Hsu / Staff reporterVice President Chen Chien-jen （陳建仁） yesterday unveiled details of the government’s draft pension reform plan, urging opponents to send representatives to a national affairs conference scheduled for Sunday.Speaking at an afternoon news conference at the Presidential Office, Chen said the draft was drawn up after 20 committee meetings, four regional forums and efforts to solicit opinions from all sectors of society.Chen said the draft plan aims to ensure that the nation’s various pension funds can be sustained for at least another generation, delaying estimations for bankruptcy of the Labor Insurance Fund by nine years to 2036, the public-school teachers’ pension fund by 12 years to 2043 and the Public Service Pension Fund by 14 years to 2044.“Our goal is to make sure that pension funds remain accessible generation after generation and be able to support insured people into their old age,” Chen said.Laying out several key elements of the proposed reforms, Chen said the controversy-dogged 18 percent preferential savings rate for retired public-sector employees taking monthly retirement payments would be lowered to 0 percent in three stages over six years.The saving rate is to be reduced every two years, falling to 9 percent, 6 percent and then 3 percent. It is to be 0 percent from the seventh year on.For those who take their pension as a lump sum, there are two proposed systems: Either the 9-6-3-0 process to reduce the interest rate as with monthly payments, or a separate plan of 12 percent for the first two years, 10 percent in years three and four, 8 percent in years five and six and 6 percent from year seven on.However, public servants whose monthly pension is below a specified floor — to be either NT$25,000 or NT$32,160 （US$791 or US$1,017） — are to retain the 18 percent preferential rate.Chen said that the government intends to cut the income replacement rate for public servants to “75 percent of two times a civil servant’s basic salary” and lower the rate by 1 percentage point each year until it is 60 percent of two times the basic salary.Under current pension plans, government employees receive pensions of up to 95 percent of their pre-retirement income, which is straining national coffers.To make pension funds more sustainable, the average used to determine payments is to be based on a longer timeframe. The proposal is for the average insured salary of the final 15 years of employment to be used to determine pensions, with that number to be reached by adding 12 months to the timeframe each year until the 15-year target is met.Also, the retirement age is to be increased to 65, except for professions of a special nature or those that involve dangerous activities, while the ceiling for labor insurance premiums paid by public servants, public-school teachers and private-sector workers is to be raised stepwise to 18 percent.Other highlights of the proposal include a scheme to allow employees to keep their work years when they switch jobs, including moves between the private sector and the public sector.“The money that is to be saved by lowering the income replacement rate for public servants and the cancelation of the 18 percent preferential rate will be put into the [Public Service Pension] Fund,” Chen said, adding that starting next year the government is to inject NT$20 billion into the Labor Insurance Fund annually.Minister Without Portfolio Lin Wan-i （林萬億）, who is deputy convener and executive director of the committee, said that as the nation has 13 different pension funds, the government plans two stages to reform such a complicated system.“We welcome various opinions at Sunday’s conference. They will be factored into the next stage,” Lin said.Asked to comment on a large-scale demonstration in front of the Presidential Office Building planned for Sunday by civil servants, Chen said that given falling temperatures, it would be better for opponents of the plans to send representatives to the conference, where their voices would be better heard.Additional reporting by CNA新聞來源：TAIPEI TIMES

（路透墨爾本19日電）塞爾維亞名將喬科維奇（Novak Djokovic）今天爆冷輸給烏茲別克選手伊斯托明（Denis Istomin），止步澳網2輪，他在賽後表示，今天手感不順。 喬科維奇今天表現失常，在拉佛球場被對手以7比6（10/8）、5比7、2比6、7比6（7/5）、6比4擊敗，他去年才在同個場地贏得第6座澳網金盃，外界也普遍看好他挑戰第7度澳網封王。 但在這位第2種子顯然無法掌控比賽後，他似乎不太能打起精神，好在第5盤重新振作，但他否認自己的鬥志因驚人反轉而受挫。 他告訴記者：「當然，比賽很激烈。」 「我們打了4個半小時，這就是，你知道的，有時候你在球場上會覺得不太對勁，抓不到節奏，而你的對手狀態卻很好。」 他說：「所以，那就是運動。我這個賽季剛開始表現非常好，但這是網球比賽，你可能在某1天落敗。我的意思是，沒什麼是不可能的。」中央社（翻譯）
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